Tornadoes: Tornadoes in the Barren River Area

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Tornado reports for the Barren River Area were collected from two sources. The Historical Tornado Data Archive at the Storm Prediction Center includes tornado reports from 1950 through 1995. This source was supplemented by reports from the National Climatic Data Center's Storm Data publication to identify more recent tornadoes. A quality control procedure that included a review of newspaper accounts was used in an effort to identify and correct errors in the these sources.

Tornadoes are a well-publicized threat in the Barren River Area. Still, the probability of any place within the 4,000 square-mile region being struck by a tornado in a given year is small. During the period 1950 through 2000, a total of 59 tornadoes were documented on 46 days. That is, the Barren River Area averages 1.2 tornadoes and 0.9 tornado days per year. The greatest number of tornadoes in a single year was ten in 1997. Meanwhile 25 of the 51 years of record had no tornado reports.

No place within the Barren River Area is safe from the threat of tornadoes. Figure 12-1 shows the counties impacted by the 59 documented tornadoes. Every county in the region has been struck at least once over the past half century. As expected, the larger counties in the region have been struck more frequently. Also, sparsely populated areas typically have fewer reports since tornadoes that touch down, particularly weak ones, are more likely to go undocumented.


Figure 12-1. Tornadoes and related casualties in the Barren River Area, 1950-2000.

Occurrences of tornadoes in the Barren River Area follow expected patterns. They are most frequent in spring. The months of March, April, and May account for 70 percent of the documented tornadoes (Figure 12-2a). Also, most tornadoes occur in the afternoon or evening hours (Figure 12-2b).


Figure 12-2. Tornadoes in the Barren River Area by month (a) and by time of day (b) follow expected patterns.

Fortunately, the majority of tornadoes to strike the Barren River Area are relatively weak. The strength of a tornado is categorized according to the Fujita scale (Table 12-1). Tornadoes in the F0 and F1 categories represent more than 60 percent of all documented tornadoes in the region, yet they have not resulted in any fatalities (Table 12-2). These tornadoes typically stay on the ground for only a short distance, often less than one mile, and cause minimal damage. In contrast, F3 tornadoes represent just over ten percent of the total, but they have accounted for the majority of injuries and fatalities. These tornadoes have the potential of causing severe damage to even well-constructed houses, and they sometimes leave a path of destruction several miles long.

Table 12-1. The Fujita scale for categorizing tornado damage.

Fujita
Scale
Estimated Wind
Speed (mph)
Typical Damage
F0 < 73 Light Damage - Some damage to chimneys; branches broken off trees; shallow-rooted trees pushed over; signboards damaged.
F1 73 - 112 Moderate Damage - Peels surface off roofs; mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned; moving autos blown off roads.
F2 113 - 157 Considerable Damage - Roofs torn off frame houses; mobile homes demolished; boxcars overturned; large trees snapped or uprooted; light object missiles generated; cars lifted off ground.
F3 158 - 206 Severe Damage - Roofs and some walls torn off well-constructed houses; trains overturned; most trees in forest uprooted; heavy cars lifted off the ground and thrown.
F4 207 - 260 Devastating Damage - Well-constructed houses leveled; structures with weak foundations blown away some distance; cars thrown and large missiles generated.
F5 261 - 318 Incredible Damage - Strong frame houses leveled off foundations and swept away; automobile-sized missiles fly through the air in excess of 100 meters (109 yds); trees debarked; incredible phenomena will occur.


Table 12-2. The strength of tornadoes and associated casualties in the Barren River Area.

Fujita
Scale
Percent of
Tornadoes
Total
Injuries
Total
Fatalities
F0 24 5 0
F1 39 25 0
F2 25 24 4
F3 12 104 8
F4 0 0 0
F5 0 0 0

Path of tornadoes across the Barren River Area are shown in Figure 12-3. In some cases, tornadoes did not remain on the ground long enough to create a clearly defined path of damage. In other cases, the same tornado may have touched down more than once. The map shows the expected orientation of tornado paths, with most paths running from southwest to northeast or from west to east. While the region has not been hit by an F5 tornado, history does not preclude such an event in the future.


Figure 12-3. Tornado paths in the Barren River Area, 1950-2000.




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